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Herman Kahn's Profile

Brief about Herman Kahn: By info that we know Herman Kahn was born at 1922-02-15. And also Herman Kahn is American Scientist.

Some Herman Kahn's quotes. Goto "Herman Kahn's quotation" section for more.

My guess is that nuclear weapons will be used sometime in the next hundred years, but that their use is much more likely to be small and limited than widespread and unconstrained.

Tags: Next, Small, Used

New developments in weapon systems during the 1950s and early 1960s created a situation that was most dangerous, and even conducive to accidental war.

Tags: Dangerous, Situation, War

The objective of nuclear-weapons policy should not be solely to decrease the number of weapons in the world, but to make the world safer - which is not necessarily the same thing.

Tags: Number, Policy, Weapons

The widespread diffusion of nuclear weapons would make many nations able, and in some cases also create the pressure, to aggravate an on-going crisis, or even touch off a war between two other powers for purposes of their own.

Tags: Between, Crisis, War

There was no race - but to the extent that there was an arms competition, it was almost entirely on the Soviet side, first to catch up and then to surpass the Americans.

Tags: Almost, Race, Side

To the extent that these advanced weapons or their components are treated as articles of commerce, perhaps for peaceful uses as in the Plowshare program, their cost would be well within the resources available to many large private organizations.

Tags: Peaceful, Perhaps, Within

Deterrence itself is not a preeminent value; the primary values are safety and morality.

Tags: Morality, Value, Values

I'm against ignorance.

Tags: Against, Ignorance

Failures of perspective in decision-making can be due to aspects of the social utility paradox, but more often result from simple mistakes caused by inadequate thought.

Tags: Mistakes, Simple, Thought

Only those who are ideologically opposed to military programs think of the defense budget as the first and best place to get resources for social welfare needs.

Tags: Best, Place, Social

World War I broke out largely because of an arms race, and World War II because of the lack of an arms race.

Tags: Lack, Race, War

Projecting a persuasive image of a desirable and practical future is extremely important to high morale, to dynamism, to consensus, and in general to help the wheels of society turn smoothly.

Tags: Future, Help, Society

Anything that reduces war-related destruction should not be considered altogether immoral.

Tags: Altogether, Considered, Immoral

Human and moral factors must always be considered. They must never be missing from policies and from public discussion.

Tags: Human, Moral, Public

I am against the whole cliche of the moment.

Tags: Against, Moment, Whole

I'm against fashionable thinking.

Tags: Against, Thinking

I'm against sloppy, emotional thinking.

Tags: Against, Emotional, Thinking

Nuclear war is such an emotional subject that many people see the weapons themselves as the common enemy of humanity.

Tags: Emotional, Enemy, War

Nuclear weapons are intrinsically neither moral nor immoral, though they are more prone to immoral use than most weapons.

Tags: Moral, Nor, Though

A healthy and fully functioning society must allocate its resources among a variety of competing interests, all of which are more or less valid but none of which should take precedence over national security.

Tags: Less, Security, Society